Are you heading for negative equity?

by Money Doctor Wednesday 11 June, 2008

It's a question worth asking at the moment, especially when you consider the state of both the property and mortgage markets.

New data released by the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) has shown that 23,000 of you that took out 100% mortgages in the year to March 31 could see the amount you borrowed becoming greater than the value of your homes as prices fall.

A spokesman for the CML commented on the risk of negative equity for people:

"This in itself is not a problem as long as they are able to continue to pay their mortgage (as the overwhelming majority do) and in the longer term house price growth and capital repayments will take them back out of negative equity".

"Clearly, we are in a period where we expect house prices to go down. But in the longer term, the market will continue to be underpinned by the shortage of property, house prices will go up again and people will move out of that position, even if they are nominally in negative equity."

However, the 23,200 people of you that took out those 100% mortgages represent only around 2.5% of the total mortgages given out in that period, and a much smaller percentage of the overall number of mortgages in the UK.

If a house loses its value it is not necessarily a problem unless you have to move or can no longer afford to pay your mortgage.

In a rising market banks are prepared to lend 100% mortgages as there is little risk of them not getting their money back.

Naturally, as house prices have been falling in recent months, the risks have increased and many mortgage lenders are turning you away if you don't have a decent deposit. These days a decent depoit is anywhere between 10% and 25%.

There is a warning that the situation may deteriorate further too as Michael Saunders, head economist at Citigroup said:

"House prices are down 6% in just the last five months, and the worst of the credit crisis; all that still lies ahead." He had originally predicted that house prices would fall by 15% in 2008 and 2009 but now he warns that the drop could be even greater.
Also, Howard Archer at Global Insight expects house prices to continue to fall for the foreseeable future. He said:
"Global Insight expects house prices to fall by 12% in both 2008 and 2009. We see significant downside risks to this forecast, particularly if the Bank of England does end up raising interest rates. "While we still expect the eventual next move in interest rates to be down, there is undeniably a growing risk that inflationary pressures could lead the Bank of England to raise them instead."
But don't worry, as despite hsour prices droping and a restricted mortgage market, there are still some competitive mortgage deals out there.

Also, if you are worried about the effects of negative equity or are concerned about not meeting your mortgage payments, you should also speak free of charge to a debt adviser who can provide you with advice and solutions to help you resolve your debt and credit problems.

If you are struggling with your finances then do not panic. You can also seek advice and support from these organisations:

Consumer Credit Counselling Service

National Debtline

Citizen's Advice Bureau

Samaritans

Are you worried about negative equity and its effects on you?

If so, why not let us know what you plan to do about it?

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Categories for this post: Mortgages

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Comments

billy says:

Friday 13 June, 2008 / 17:06

So house prices to fall.
Good I hear all of you renters say.
About time say others.
Now well be able to buy our own house.

Well I have news for you.
As interest rates rise to counter inflationary pressures your house in 2 years that will be 30% cheaper in value to buy will cost you more in your pocket!
the 140k house at 7%  is 9.8k interest only whereas the 98k house at 10.1% is 9.89k.

so dont think that falling house prices automatically means that owning your own home  gets any easier.
However if you take the plunge  you will be on your way in the next 20 years to have an asset.

what makes owning your own home feasible is strict money management. doing without in the initial stages , and working 2 even 3 jobs 7 days a week.
Hard work ,starting small ,and time .always.

These are the key elements to a property portfolio of upwards of  a million pounds.
just ask me.
7 properties - next door to you wanna be  millionaire.
who drives a 19 year old car  hasnt had a holiday for 14 months , and started at 23. some 20 years ago.
Am I whinging knowing that im going to lose over 210k in the next 2 years. a bit, but I anticipate that the cycle will upswing in another while.
and anyway rents should pick up a bit, as more renters purchase their own homes there should be less rental stock.
So every low has a high and every high has a low.
bye
billy

andrea says:

Saturday 14 June, 2008 / 12:06

Interesting and inspiring Billy. I own a flat and a half ( 1 shared ownership)The flat I own needs work and its hard to get the money at the moment so i am indeed working 6/7 days a week to get the money to do the work without borrowing anymore if I can help it.The flat I part own does not have any carpets I have concrete floors still but hey- a roof over my head! Some people have nowhere to live so i consider myself lucky. I have at times been very tempted to put one to auction, as a short term fix, but im reluctant as I can rent it eventually . Its hard work though and tiring. Im sure though that the market will eventually stabilise, I expect thought that it will be rough for a while. I almost did not buy at all cos of all the uncertainty but I am glad that i did! I would say now is not a bad time to buy, its all a risk and you have to take the rough withthe smooth.

Sarah says:

Saturday 14 June, 2008 / 14:06

I bought my house in 1988 and suffered over 10 years of negative equity.  I was renting when the interest rates fell to 4.9% and I was paying more monthly in rent than the cost of a mortgage.  Within 6 months of purchase the rates rose from 4.9% to 15% and took almost all of my montly income to support.  I saw people handing their keys into the mortgage providers only to find that they still owed thousands of pounds and had to rent a place to live as well.  The mortgage providers hounded them and took them to court where fines were imposed on top of the debt they already had.

Buyers beware at this time unless you have a substantial deposit houses are still expensive and a long haul.  There is one thing to understand and that is the importance of timing.  You can make a killing if you see the peaks and troughs in this market. You can buy cheap and sell a few months later at a profit but only when the market it ripe for change.  Read and research past trends for history repeats itself.  If you are lucky enough to have weathered the last crash you know what I mean.

I rent my house and live in Australia with this asset paying for itself, finally.  We are the lucky ones but beware.

ash says:

Monday 23 June, 2008 / 15:27

house price fall are direct result of tighting the belt by high street mortgage lender and  withdrawal of discounted mortgage products also hesitant buyers with fear of negative equity.overall long term views are that slow house price recovery may start by next summer

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