Interest rates to go up to 8% or even 10%?

by Money Doctor Wednesday 14 March, 2007

The Money Hospital corridors are awash with rumours over interest rates! It's even got Matron interested (and she normally needs a strong cuppa and afternoon cake to get her chatting away!)

Martin Weale, director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (which advises the Treasury and Bank of England) and one of the UK's leading economists says that interest rates need to go above 8% to control booming house prices!

He said that unless the property market is restrained it will suffer a crash. Mr. Weale says that as homebuyers we are too reliant on our property providing security in our retirement and we fail to save or pensions or make other investments. He says the problem would be dealt with by a big hike in interest rates, maybe as high as 8% or 10%!

The Bank of England base rate has already jumped three times since August to 5.25% (the highest for 6 years). Further big increases would put enormous pressure on the 11.6million of us who are homeowners with mortgages.
But an increase in rates is essential to stabilise the market, according to Mr. Weale. "10% might bring the boom under control or possibly 8% would be enough to do it,?? he said. "But a quarter-point here or there is not going to do it.??

So what would it mean if interest rates did rise to 8%?

If you had a typical £150,000 repayment mortgage at 2% above base the repayments would rise from £1,084 to £1,363 a month!!

Mr. Weale said: "The UK property market, in terms of its implications for the economy as a whole, is something of a disaster. It would be nice if the Government thought about this, instead of regarding it as an issue to be left to the Bank of England. I think it's a bubble and I think it could carry on for quite a long time. People don't bother to save because they rely on rising house prices to give them wealth without lifting a finger. That means when they get to old age they won't have enough to live on, or they will have to withdraw equity from their houses to keep going.??

With the prospect of rises in interest rates, there have been a record number of first time buyers taking up fixed rate mortgages. In January, 85% of you first time buyers took out a fixed-rate deal (the highest proportion on record) according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).

Among those remortgaging or home moving, 70% of you took out a fixed-rate deal.

It's clear that more and more of you are protecting yourselves against the risk of huge interest rate rises and opting for the certainty of fixing your monthly mortgage payments.

So if you are looking to remortgage before the possible large rise in interest rates, then you should get some impartial advice!

Categories for this post: Mortgages

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