In January, Fool.co.uk predicted that house prices would fall 20% this year and slashing the average price of a home in Britain from £196,000 to £153,400.
As a result, did you know that your house has a best by date?
No? Well it does if you live in certain parts of the country!
- If you bought before spring 2004 you are sitting pretty
A 20% fall in house prices will bring down the average price of a house in the UK to spring 2004 levels. So, if you bought your home after then you will find you have made a
capital loss.
Put another way: your home was "best before" April 2004 because it will be worth less than four years ago. This does not mean you are in negative equity because negative equity is related to the size of a loan taken out to buy a property. A capital gain or loss is solely a function of the price of an asset.
- The West Country is most vulnerable to a property downturn
If you are someone who lives in the South West, you should have bought your homes earlier than the national best-before date to sidestep a 20% fall in property prices. In short, you should have bought your home before January 2004.
In the winter of 2003, the average price of a home in the region was £163,000, which is approximately a fifth less than the average price today.
The East Midlands and the South East also fare badly. If you are a homeowner in the East Midlands who bought your property after January 2004 you are most likely to incur a capital loss. The best-before date for the South East is also January 2004.
Need some mortgage advice? Speak to an impartial adviser who can search all mortgage lenders, some you may never have heard of, to find the best deal for your situation.
- The luck of the Irish and the canny Scots
You should be happy if you are a Celt.The best-before dates for Scotland and Northern Ireland are April and October 2006 respectively; which is two years later than the national average. Since spring 2004, property prices in Northern Ireland and Scotland have more than doubled' compare this to the 20% increase nationally.
David Kuo, Head of Personal Finance at Fool.co.uk, says:
"A 20% fall in house prices will mean that many people who bought their homes after spring 2004 will suffer a capital loss.
"It is vital to differentiate between capital loss and negative equity. While a capital loss is beyond the control of homeowners, mortgage borrowers can overcome negative equity by reducing the size of their outstanding mortgage compared to the value of the property.
"It is also important to appreciate that falling house prices are not disastrous, even for many existing homeowners. A 20% fall in house prices across the board will narrow the gap between the value of your home and a property further up the housing ladder. It will make up-sizing more affordable.
"Fool.co.uk therefore urges the Government to stop meddling in the housing market, and allow property prices to find their own levels. In its attempts to help homeowners, it is killing with kindness. It is holding back a dynamic market that needs to fall as well as rise to move forward."
So, should the Government stay out of the mortgage and housing markets, or should they be doing their very best to help homeowners?
Are you also worried about your house having a best buy date?
Why not let us know in the comments?
© Fool.co.uk 2008
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